Emily Oster

3 min Read Emily Oster

Emily Oster

Labor Induction Decision Tree

Should you be induced at 39 weeks?

Emily Oster

3 min Read

One of the most common things I get asked about is labor induction. In particular, pregnant people wonder whether they should be induced at 39 weeks or if it makes sense to wait; are there risks to induction, or benefits? The question of whether to induce labor has always been present, but a large randomized trial published in 2018 — the ARRIVE trial — changed the calculus for many providers by suggesting that labor induction did not increase the risk of C-section.

I’ve written much more about that trial, but my primary takeaway is that these results should be a part of the discussion though not dispositive. This is an area where shared decision-making is the key to reaching a choice that works for you. But shared decision-making can be hard without a good structure.

Which is why I was very happy to see and share an excellent decision tool, developed by Ann Peralta. Ann has worked in maternal and children’s health for the past 15 years and has a doctorate in public health (DrPH) from Boston University. In her words:

Each year, about 600,000 people in the U.S. have an induction of labor without a medical indication. The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, the American College of Nurse-Midwives, and researchers on all sides of this issue all agree that shared decision-making should be used when counseling pregnant people on this topic. That means they think pregnant people should be informed of their options and the evidence and then they should ultimately decide how their labor starts. But right now, that’s not how many people experience it.

So for my DrPH dissertation project, I tried to make shared decision-making happen on this topic. I formed a core group of providers (an OB, a family medicine physician, and two midwives), and we created an initial prototype of a shared decision-making tool and process. We recruited a larger group of providers (OBs, midwives, and nurse practitioners) to test the tool and process in three languages because we wanted to solve for inequities in who gets to experience shared decision-making. Once the tool was in use, I interviewed a very diverse group of pregnant people who experienced it to get feedback on the tool and assess whether or not shared decision-making was happening. After we had some clear improvement themes from the interviews, we revised the tool and tested the next version. 

We did this three times — until we were making very minor changes to it and were hearing consistently positive experiences using the tool. I also talked to providers during each testing cycle. Many of the pregnant people I interviewed described using the tool as “awesome” and “empowering,” and providers said it improved the quality of their care and reduced bias. Our study team is working to publish our process and results in a peer-reviewed journal, but in the meantime, I know a tool on this topic has been called for by many, so we wanted to share it: www.inductiondecisionaid.org

A chart to help readers decide whether spontaneous labor or induction is the right choice for them.
Community Guidelines
A heavily pregnant person with her feet up at her office closes her eyes.

May 13, 2024

10 min Read

Labor Induction and C-Section

The facts behind the "cascade of interventions"

a patient in hospital with IV needles on the hand

Oct. 4, 2023

3 min Read

Is There a Link Between Pitocin and Postpartum Depression?

I have read in a few places that there may be a link between postpartum depression and Pitocin use to Read more

ParentData podcast cover art

Dec. 14, 2023

22 min Read

Choosing to Induce

Choosing to Induce With Nathan Fox